Senators vs Lightning Prediction NHL Picks 2/19/24

The Ottawa Senators will play the Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday night at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Ottawa has lost two games in a row, while Tampa Bay has won three of their last four. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Senators vs Lightning prediction.

Senators Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 22-27-2 this season after they lost to Chicago by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Ottawa led 2-1 in the second period, but they allowed Chicago to score the last two goals in the game for the loss. The Senators out shot Chicago by a total of 42-22 and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Ottawa lost to Anaheim by a score of 5-1 in the game prior to Chicago, but did win the previous four games. The Senators are scoring 3.35 goals per game and they are allowing 3.61 goals against per game, while going 16.1% on the power play and 74.2% on the penalty kill. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 12 goals, 37 assists, and 138 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Joonas Korpisalo, who is 13-18-2 this season with a 3.41 goals against average and a .887 save percentage.

Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 30-21-5 this year after they lost to Florida by a score of 9-2 in their last game. Tampa Bay led 1-0 early in the first period, but it was all downhill from there, as Florida scored nine of the last ten goals. The Lightning recorded 30 shots on goal and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay had won their previous three games against Colorado, Boston, and Columbus. The Lightning are scoring 3.41 goals per game and they are allowing 3.38 goals against per game, while going 30.2% on the power play and 79.9% on the penalty kill. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 36 goals, 58 assists, and 234 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 19-12-0 this season with a 2.90 goals against average and a .899 save percentage. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts

• The Lightning have won eight of their last nine night games at Amalie Arena.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in eight of the Lightning’s last nine games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 13 games as favorites against the Senators.
• The home team has won the third period in seven of the last eight games between the Senators and Lightning.

Ottawa Senators Team Facts

• The Senators have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight night games following a road loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 11 night games at Amalie Arena.
• The Senators have won the second period in four of their last five games as underdogs.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last five games at Amalie Arena.
• Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances with the Lightning as favorites against the Senators.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last seven games at Amalie Arena.
• Nikita Kucherov ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Points (40) this season.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Claude Giroux has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last three night games.
• Vladimir Tarasenko has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last six games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Dominik Kubalik has recorded an assist in four of his last five appearances at Amalie Arena.
• Tim Stuetzle has recorded two blocks against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 25th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.38).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league for power play goals this season (52).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.881).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.41).

Senators vs Lightning Betting Prediction

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup as one of the best home teams in the NHL, but they were blown out 9-2 at home in their last game against Florida. The Lightning are 18-6-3 at home, while Ottawa is 7-14-0 on the road. The Senators have been pretty inconsistent this year and they have lost to Chicago and Anaheim in their last two games. Tampa Bay is the better team in this matchup and I think their poor performance against Florida was just a “one off”. Take Tampa Bay to get back on track here. 

David Racey's Pick: Lightning ML