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Stars vs Bruins Prediction NHL Picks 2/19/24

Pick details

Boston Bruins (32-12-11) vs Dallas Stars (34-14-7)

February 19, 2024 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Bruins -125 / Dallas Stars +105 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Stars will play the Boston Bruins on Monday afternoon at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Dallas has won three of their last four games, while Boston is on a four game losing streak. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Stars vs Bruins prediction.

Stars Preview

The Dallas Stars are 34-14-7 this year after they lost to Edmonton in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Dallas tied the game at three with under a minute left in the second period, but couldn’t find any offense in the third and lost in overtime. The Stars out shot Edmonton by a total of 27-24 and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. Dallas had won their previous three games against Nashville, Carolina, and Montreal. The Stars are scoring 3.75 goals per game and they are allowing 3.02 goals against per game, while going 23.3% on the power play and 81.8% on the penalty kill. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 18 goals, 37 assists, and 158 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 20-9-3 this season with a 2.94 goals against average and a .904 save percentage. 

Bruins Preview

The Boston Bruins are 32-12-11 this season after they lost to the Kings in overtime by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Boston led 4-3 late in the third period, but allowed LA to tie the game and win in overtime. The Bruins were out shot by a total of 35-32 and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Boston has also lost to Seattle, Tampa Bay, and Washington during this losing streak. The Bruins are scoring 3.33 goals per game and they are allowing 2.64 goals against per game, while going 23.7% on the power play and 81.2% on the penalty kill. David Pastrnak has led Boston with 34 goals, 45 assists, and 276 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Boston is Linus Ullmark, who is 16-6-4 this season with a 2.72 goals against average and a .914 save percentage. 

Boston Bruins Team Facts

  • The Bruins have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Bruins’ last four games at TD Garden.
  • The Bruins have won the third period in each of their last seven Monday day games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents.

Dallas Stars Team Facts

  • The Stars have lost each of their last four games at TD Garden.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games after coming off overtime.
  • The Stars have won the second period in three of their last four day games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight games after coming off overtime.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • David Pastrnak has scored at least one goal in nine of the Bruins’ last 10 games against Central Division opponents at TD Garden.
  • Brad Marchand has recorded at least one point in each of the Bruins’ last nine Monday games at TD Garden.
  • Morgan Geekie has recorded an assist in each of the Bruins’ last four games against Central Division opponents at TD Garden.
  • Brad Marchand has the equal-most Shorthanded Goals for the Bruins this season (2).

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Thomas Harley has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last three day games.
  • Mason Marchment has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Mason Marchment has recorded at least one assist in five of the Stars’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Roope Hintz ranks 2nd amongst qualified Central Division players for shooting percentage (19.7%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Bruins rank 2nd in the league in save percentage this season (.915).
  • The Boston Bruins rank 2nd in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (0.62).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 31st in the league in penalty minutes this season (384).
  • The Dallas Stars rank T2nd in the league in short handed goals this season (11).

Stars vs Bruins Betting Prediction

Boston comes into this matchup looking to snap their four game losing streak and they will be at home, where they are 17-7-5 this season. The Bruins were in great position to beat the Kings in their last game, but they allowed a goal late in the third and couldn’t convert a power play in overtime. Dallas has won three of their last four games, with the loss coming in overtime to Edmonton, who has been one of the best teams in the NHL. The Stars are 17-6-4 on the road and they are one of the highest scoring teams in the league, but I am taking Boston here. The Bruins have struggled recently, but they are still a great team that is very good at home. Take the Bruins here. 

David Racey's Pick: Bruins ML

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