New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 10/21/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

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The New Jersey Devils and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Jersey Devils vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

New Jersey Devils Recap

The New Jersey Devils come into this game looking to add on to their 5-3 win over the Edmonton Oilers last time out to sit at 4-1 this season. After this game, the Devils will head home for a game against the Minnesota Wild.

Devils Pick Up 4th Straight W

Jesper Bratt has a team-high 7 points with 3 goals and 4 assists while Jack Hughes has 6 points with 3 goals and 3 assists and Nico Hischier has 6 points with 2 goals and 4 assists. Dawson Mercer and Timo Meier each have 5 points with 3 goals and 2 assists apiece while Luke Hughes has 4 assists. Connor Brown has 3 goals and Arseny Gritsyuk has 3 assists. Brett Pesce, Simon Nemec and Brenden Dillon each have a pair of assists as well this season. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-3 OT loss at the hands of the Seattle Kraken last time out to sit at 3-2-1 this season. After this game, the Maple Leafs will head on the road for the first leg of a back-to-back with the Buffalo Sabres.

Maple Leafs Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

William Nylander has a team-high 11 points with a team-high 9 assists while Matthew Knies has 8 points with 2 goals and 6 assists. John Tavares has 7 points with 3 goals and 4 assists. Morgan Rielly has 6 points with 2 goals and 4 assists while Auston Matthews has 6 points with a team-high 4 goals. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 4 points with 3 assists and Bobby McMann has 3 points with 2 goals and an assist. Calle Jarnkrok has 3 goals while Steven Lorentz has a pair of assists and Nicolas Roy and Jake McCabe each have 2 points with a goal and an assist. Anthony Stolarz has gone 2-2-1 with a 2.79 GAA and an .897 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Cayden Primeau is 1-0 with a 4.00 GAA and an .867 save percentage this season.

New Jersey Devils @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: October 21, 2025

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last eight games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Devils have lost each of their last six games at Scotiabank Arena following a home win.
• The Devils have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 road games following a win.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in four of their last five games against the Devils.
• The Devils have lost the third period in each of their last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

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Why the New Jersey Devils will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the last nine games between the Devils and Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four games after coming off overtime.
• The road team has covered the puck line in 10 of the last 11 games between the Devils and Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Devils have won the third period in each of their last six games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight night games at Scotiabank Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Devils’ last four road games following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Devils’ last 10 games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 10 of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games as favorites against the Devils.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Devils.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five night games.
• Matthew Knies has recorded at least one point in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• William Nylander ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (4) this season.

New Jersey Devils Player Prop Facts

• Timo Meier has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nico Hischier has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances with the Devils as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Jesper Bratt has recorded at least one point in each of the Devils’ last seven road games against the Maple Leafs.
• Dawson Mercer ranks T4th amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (37.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.67).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (14.29%).
• The New Jersey Devils rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (95.00%).
• The New Jersey Devils rank 4th in the league for goals per game this season (3.80).

New Jersey Devils vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs here. I just think that the Leafs are still the better team here and I think that’s especially true in goaltending. I just don’t think that a continued successful run with Jake Allen is sustainable, and I think this is a spot where Toronto being at home is the difference in this game. Toronto’s been slow starters at times but I think they wake up here. Give me Toronto in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toronto -115

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