San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 5/6/24

David Racey

12 months ago

Chicago Cubs (21-14) vs San Diego Padres (18-19)

May 6, 2024 at 07:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -120 / San Diego Padres +100 — Over/Under: 7.5

In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 6th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

The Padres recent form and recent player performance
The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego and Chicago
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Diego and Chicago

Padres are Swinging Hot Bats

The San Diego Padres are 18-19 this year and they have won four of their last five games. San Diego is coming off of a series win against Arizona, where they won two out of three and scored 24 runs in the series. Prior to that series, the Padres won two out of three against Cincinnati and were swept by the Phillies in three games. San Diego is under .500 on the season, but they are second in the NL West, 5.5 games behind the Dodgers.

The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 187 runs with a .259 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Jurickson Profar is batting .344 with five home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Padres this year. San Diego is second in the MLB in runs scored this year and they have scored at least six runs in four of their last five games.

Cubs are Gaining Momentum

The Chicago Cubs are 21-14 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Chicago is coming off of a series win against Milwaukee, where they won two out of three games and shutout the Brewers on Sunday. Prior to that series, the Cubs split a four game series with the Mets and lost two out of three against Boston. Chicago is coming off of a huge series win against Milwaukee over the weekend and they are now tied for first in the NL Central.

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 168 runs with a .237 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Michael Busch is batting .261 with six home runs and 18 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has played inconsistently over their last nine games, but they have scored five runs or more in three of their last four games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Yu Darvish, who is 1-1 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 28.2 innings pitched this year. Darvish has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four outings, but did throw 5.0 shutout innings against the Reds last time out. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Justin Steele, who is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 4.2 innings pitched this season. Steele went 4.2 innings and allowed one earned run against Texas in his first start of the season, before going on the IL.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Justin Steele has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 13 appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Double in three of the Cubs’ last four home games against NL opponents.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Cubs as favorites against NL opponents.
Seiya Suzuki has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last eight home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Justin Steele has recorded a win in six of his last eight home appearances.
Mike Tauchman ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.404) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

Jake Cronenworth has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games against the Cubs.
Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last six road games.
Yu Darvish has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances at Wrigley Field.
Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 12 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Manny Machado has recorded at least one total base in each of the Padres’ last 12 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in three of the Padres’ last four road games against NL opponents.
Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine road appearances after playing the previous day.
Jurickson Profar ranks T2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.430) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Chicago Cubs rank T1st in the league for triples this season (9).
The Chicago Cubs rank 5th in the league for walks this season (129).
The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (187).
The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (327).