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New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB Picks 5/6/24
Pick details
St. Louis Cardinals (15-18) vs New York Mets (16-17)
May 6, 2024 at 07:45 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals -128 / New York Mets +109 — Over/Under: 8
The New York Mets and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Monday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. Here’s a New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
• The New York Mets recent form and player performance
• The St. Louis Cardinals recent form and player performance
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals
• Recent betting trends in games played between the Mets and Cardinals
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Mets vs Cardinals game
New York Mets Betting Preview
The Mets are fresh off a weekend series versus the Tampa Bay Rays. New York took losses in the first two games of that set 10-8 and 3-1. On Sunday in the finale, the Mets blew a late 5-4 lead and ended up falling 7-6 in 10 innings. Luis Severino gave up four earned on four hits and six walks in 5.0 innings as starter.
For the starter gig in the Monday matchup versus St. Louis, the Mets are going with Sean Manaea. This year over his six starts Manaea is 1-1 with a 3.07 ERA and 30 Ks in 29.1 innings. Manaea is 66-57 with a 4.07 ERA in 202 career games (172 starts).
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
Over on the Cardinals’ side, they played the Chicago White Sox in their weekend series. St. Louis split the first two games of that set, winning 3-0 Friday before a 6-5 loss in game two. In the Sunday rubber match the Cardinals posted four team hits in a 5-1 loss. Matthew Liberatore lasted 3.2 innings in the starting role with three hits, one earned and five strikeouts.
It’ll be Kyle Gibson in the starting pitcher role for the Cardinals on Monday. This year in six starts Gibson is 2-2 with a 3.79 ERA and 29 strikeouts over 38.0 innings. Gibson is 106-102 with a 4.53 ERA in 306 career games (300 starts). The Cardinals will take on the Brewers following this series.
Mets vs Cardinals Injury Notes
Mets SP Kodai Senga (shoulder) participated in a 32-pitch live batting practice session over the weekend.
Cardinals RP Keynan Middleton (forearm) threw a bullpen session over the weekend. Middleton is expected to throw two more this week before a rehab assignment.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Mets.
- Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals’ last seven games as favorites.
- Kyle Gibson has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against NL East opponents.
- Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against the Mets.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Mets.
- Willson Contreras has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against the Mets.
- Brandon Crawford has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Mets.
- Kyle Gibson has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against the Mets.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Jeff McNeil has scored a run in each of the Mets’ last six games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded an RBI in four of the Mets’ last five road games against the Cardinals.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets’ last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Monday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Starling Marte has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Monday appearances.
- Pete Alonso ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The St. Louis Cardinals rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (118).
- The St. Louis Cardinals rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (23).
- The New York Mets rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (155).
- The New York Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (20).
New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
I’ll stay with the Cardinals. Gibson is pitching well right now. He’s 1-0 in his last three starts with just three earned in the last 19.0 innings. Gibson has given up 12 hits and eight walks during that time. As for Manaea, he’s done pretty well himself with three earned runs in his last three starts over 14.2 innings of work.
On Sunday in their finale versus the Sox, the Cardinals couldn’t get much going at the plate on four team hits. Wilson Contreras’ solo homer was just about the only sign of offensive life. Defensively St. Louis really only had one bad inning, though. I think the Cards have a good shot at bouncing back on Monday.
