Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction 5/9/25 NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers meet Friday in the NHL playoffs Game 3 at the Amerant Bank Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview 

The Toronto Maple Leafs look for a 3-0 series lead with a win here. The Maple Leafs have won 19 of their last 24 games. The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in seven of their eight playoff games. 

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring 28 percent of their power-play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 6 goals, Mitch Marner has 8 assists, and Auston Matthews has 29 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.88 goals per game and are killing 75 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 15 goals on 151 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 6 goals on 48 shots.

Florida Panthers Betting Preview 

The Florida Panthers need a win to have a real chance of winning this series. The Panthers have lost 10 of their last 17 games since March 30. The Panthers have won six of their last eight playoff home games.

The Florida Panthers are averaging 3.71 goals per game and are scoring 28.6 percent of their power-play opportunities. Sam Bennett leads Florida with 4 goals, Brad Marchand has 6 assists, and Sam Reinhart has 20 shots on goal. Defensively, the Florida Panthers are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 88.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 20 goals on 161 shots faced.

Why the Florida Panthers will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last six night games at Amerant Bank Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Panthers have won 10 of their last 11 night games at Amerant Bank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games at Amerant Bank Arena.
• The Panthers have covered the puck line in four of their last five night games following a road loss.
• The Panthers have won the third period in each of their last four games against the Maple Leafs at Amerant Bank Arena.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Panthers have lost four of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 Friday games as home favorites.
• The Panthers have lost the second period in four of their last five games as favorites.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Anton Lundell has recorded at least one assist in each of the Panthers’ last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Sam Reinhart has scored a goal in six of the Panthers’ last seven night Game 3s of a playoff series.
• Aaron Ekblad has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
• Aleksander Barkov ranks T1st in the Eastern Conference for shootout goals (4) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five road games.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine night Game 3s of a playoff series.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven playoff games as underdogs.
• William Nylander ranks 2nd in the league for Goals (45) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Injury Report 

The Panthers don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Maple Leafs will continue to be without Jani Hakanpaa. Anthony Stolarz is out with an upper-body issue.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction

I’ve said throughout the playoffs that I believe the Panthers are the team to beat in the East, and have backed them a lot in these games. I’m not ready to hit the panic button just yet, despite being down 0-2 in the series. However, this line is nuts. The Maple Leafs have been one of the hottest teams in the league over the last two months, and they’ve been the faster, sharper team in this series.

The Panthers have struggled with Toronto’s speed, they’ve been sloppy defensively, and Matthew Tkachuk has been a bit of a non factor all of a sudden. Yes, the Panthers should be able to write the ship at home, and they’ve responded well to adversity in the past. However, we’re getting two times our money with the Leafs just because the game is in Sunrise? I’m not buying it. The value is with the Maple Leafs at this price. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs +190