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Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 5/7/25 NHL Picks

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Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) vs Florida Panthers (47-31-4)

May 7, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs +120 / Florida Panthers -142 — Over/Under: 5.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Panthers vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, May 7, at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers (51-33-4, 39-49 ATS) eliminated the Tampa Bay Lightning in five games in Round 1 of the playoffs, and fought bravely in Game 1 of the series against the Toronto Maple Leafs on the road, but fell short 5-4. Seth Jones, Eetu Luostarinen, Uvis Balinskis, and Sam Bennett scored for the Panthers, while Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 30 shots he faced.

The Panthers score 3.83 goals per game on average in the playoffs (4th), while they concede 2.83 GPG (3rd). This postseason, Sam Reinhart leads the team with 6 points (2 G and 4 A). Brad Marchand has 6 points (0 G and 6 A), while Anton Lundell chips in with 6 points (2 G and 4 A).

Sergei Bobrovsky (4-2-0) is expected to start for the Panthers at the goal on Wednesday against the Maple Leafs. The 36-year-old is allowing 2.69 goals per game this playoffs with a .886 SV% and no shutouts.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs (57-27-5, 46-43 ATS) defeated the Ottawa Senators in six games even though they had a 3-0 lead in that series. Still, the Leafs managed to make it through and then opened the current series against the Florida Panthers with a 5-4 win at home. William Nylander scored a pair of goals, while Morgan Rielly, Chris Tanev, and Matthew Knies also found the back of the net for Toronto. Anthony Stolarz saved eight of nine shots before he suffered an upper-body injury. Joseph Woll registered 17 saves from 20 shots he faced. 

The Maple Leafs average 3.43 goals per game this postseason (7th), while they allow 2.86 GPG (4th). William Nylander leads the team with 12 points (5 G and 7 A). Mitch Marner contributes 9 points (1 G and 8 A), while Auston Matthews has 7 points (2 G and 5 A).

Anthony Stolarz (4-2-0) will likely take his place in the cage for the Maple Leafs on Wednesday against the Panthers. The 31-year-old is allowing 2.19 goals per game this playoffs with a .901 SV% and no shutouts.

Total Goals Facts

  • Thirteen of the Maple Leafs’ last 14 games at Scotiabank Arena following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Fifteen of the last 17 games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the Panthers’ last eight night games at Scotiabank Arena following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Panthers’ last 11 Wednesday night games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.79).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.23).
  • The Florida Panthers rank 2nd in the league in short-handed goals this season (12).
  • The Florida Panthers rank 3rd in the league for shots per game this season (31.6).

Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The Panthers won six of the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, Florida leads the series 3-2. I am not sure whether Stolarz will be ready to start, but his head coach hasn’t ruled that out. In case Woll starts, I believe the Panthers will have a better chance of getting a win. I was surprised by nine goals in Game 1, as I expected a low-scoring affair, but now I am going with Over. Seven of the Panthers’ last ten games went Over. 

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 5.5