Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 5/5/25 NHL Picks

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Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) vs Florida Panthers (47-31-4)

May 5, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs +105 / Florida Panthers -125 — Over/Under: 5.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Panthers vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Monday, May 5, at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers (51-32-4, 39-48 ATS) beat the Tampa Bay Lightning in Round 1 of the playoffs easier than expected. The Panthers needed only five games to see off their in-state rivals, mostly thanks to a sturdy defense that allowed more than three goals just once in the series, and that game resulted in a loss. In the most recent 6-3 victory, Carter Verhaeghe, Anton Lundell, Aleksander Barkov, Sam Bennett, Eetu Luostarinen, and Sam Reinhart scored for Florida, while Sergei Bobrovsky saved 26 of 29 shots he faced. 

The Panthers score 3.80 goals per game on average in the playoffs (5th), while they concede 2.40 GPG (3rd). This postseason, Sam Reinhart leads the team with 6 points (2 G and 4 A). Aleksander Barkov has 5 points (1 G and 4 A), while Anton Lundell chips in with 5 points (2 G and 3 A).

Sergei Bobrovsky (4-1-0) is expected to start for the Panthers at the goal on Monday against the Maple Leafs. The 36-year-old is allowing 2.21 goals per game this playoffs with a .901 SV% and one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs (56-27-5, 45-43 ATS) opened the series against the Ottawa Senators with three straight wins, and many thought we would have the first series sweep of this year’s playoffs, but the Sens responded with a pair of victories. However, the Maple Leafs didn’t allow the series to go to Game 7 with a 4-2 road win in Game 6. William Nylander scored two goals, while Auston Matthews and Max Pacioretty also scored for Toronto. Anthony Stolarz stopped 21 of 23 shots he faced.

The Maple Leafs average 3.17 goals per game this postseason (8th), while they allow 2.67 GPG (4th). William Nylander leads the team with 9 points (3 G and 6 A). Mitch Marner contributes 8 points (1 G and 7 A), while Auston Matthews has 7 points (2 G and 5 A).

Anthony Stolarz (4-2-0) will likely take his place in the cage for the Maple Leafs on Monday against the Panthers. The 31-year-old is allowing 2.21 goals per game this playoffs with a .901 SV% and no shutouts.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Panthers’ last six night games against the Maple Leafs following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the last eight night games between the Panthers and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Twelve of the last 14 games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven night games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in three of the Panthers’ last four road games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.79).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.23).
  • The Florida Panthers rank 2nd in the league in short-handed goals this season (12).
  • The Florida Panthers rank 3rd in the league for shots per game this season (31.6).

Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The Panthers won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last five. This season, Florida leads the series 3-1. Three of those four meetings went Under, which was the case in seven of the last ten H2H duels. I believe the teams will enter this series cautiously, and it’s still early to expect a classic shootout, so I am going with another Under. The Panthers displayed solid defense in the series against high-scoring Tampa Bay, and that defense should do its thing on Monday as well.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Under 5.5