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Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 5/8/25 NHL Picks

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Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10) vs Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5)

May 8, 2025 at 09:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Vegas Golden Knights -135 / Edmonton Oilers +114 — Over/Under: 6.5

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In this article, we will formulate an Oilers vs Golden Knights prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, May 8, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers (53-31-5, 35-54 ATS) came back from 2-0 down in the Round 1 series against the Los Angeles Kings and won four straight games to clinch it. Although they didn’t have a home-ice advantage, the Oilers advanced, and now, in the series against the Vegas Golden Knights, they have a home-ice advantage after winning Game 1 4-2 in Las Vegas. The Oilers were losing 2-0 but scored four in a row through Corey Perry, Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman, and Connor Brown. Calvin Pickard saved 15 of 17 shots he faced.

The Oilers average 4.43 goals per game this postseason (1st), while they allow 3.71 GPG (12th). Connor McDavid leads the team with 13 points (2 G and 11 A). Leon Draisaitl contributes 12 points (4 G and 8 A), while Evan Bouchard has 9 points (4 G and 5 A).

Calvin Pickard (5-0-0) will likely take his place in the cage for the Oilers on Thursday against the Golden Knights. The 33-year-old is allowing 2.76 goals per game this playoffs with a .891 SV% and no shutouts.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights (54-25-10, 49-40 ATS) also decided the Round 1 series in six games after coming from 2-1 down to eliminate the Minnesota Wild 4-2. The Golden Knights opened Game 1 against the Oilers on a high note with two quick goals in the first period, but their offense was pretty much non-existent in the second and third, while Edmonton scored four to secure the win. Mark Stone scored both goals for Vegas, while Adin Hill stopped 24 of 28 shots he faced.

The Golden Knights score 2.86 goals per game on average in the playoffs (12th), while they concede 3.29 GPG (10th). This postseason, Jack Eichel leads the team with 6 points (1 G and 5 A). Mark Stone has 6 points (4 G and 2 A), while Tomas Hertl chips in with 5 points (3 G and 2 A).

Adin Hill (4-3-0) is expected to start for the Golden Knights in the goal on Thursday against the Oilers. The 28-year-old is allowing 3.01 goals per game this playoffs with a .876 SV% and no shutouts.

Why the Golden Knights will beat the Oilers

  • The Golden Knights have won four of their last five games following a loss.
  • The Oilers have lost each of their last three Game 2s of a playoff series.
  • The Golden Knights have covered the puck line in five of their last six night games against the Oilers following a loss.
  • The Oilers have lost the first period in four of their last five games as underdogs.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Golden Knights’ last four games as home favorites following a home loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Five of the Oilers’ last six night games at T-Mobile Arena following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Six of the last eight games between two teams from the Pacific Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last seven games as favorites.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last 11 Thursday night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Vegas Golden Knights are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
  • The Vegas Golden Knights rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.34).
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank T3rd in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (4).
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank T4th in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.91).

Oilers vs Golden Knights Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the past couple of years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H duels. This season, the Oilers lead the series 3-2 after winning the last three. The Oilers are in full swing at the moment and are likely the hottest team in the playoffs, after securing five consecutive wins, but I am backing the Golden Knights in this one as they cannot afford to drop into a 0-2 hole after two home games. Vegas attempted just 17 shots in Game 1, and that must change if they want to tie the series. I think the hosts will do it and exploit Edmonton’s defensive weaknesses, which they didn’t in Game 1.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Golden Knights ML