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Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 5/6/25 NHL Picks
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Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10) vs Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5)
May 6, 2025 at 09:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Vegas Golden Knights -135 / Edmonton Oilers +114 — Over/Under: 6.5
In this article, we will formulate an Oilers vs Golden Knights prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, May 6, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview
The Edmonton Oilers (52-31-5, 34-54 ATS) lost the opening two games of the Round 1 series against the Los Angeles Kings, but then got four games to win in six and eliminate Los Angeles once again from the playoffs. Edmonton allowed 12 goals in the first two games, and then allowed 12 in the next four. In the most recent 6-4 win, Adam Henrique, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Zach Hyman, Darnell Nurse, Trent Frederic, and Connor Brown scored for the Oilers, while Calvin Pickard saved 23 of 27 shots he faced.
The Oilers average 4.50 goals per game this postseason (1st), while they allow 4.00 GPG (15th). Connor McDavid leads the team with 11 points (2 G and 9 A). Leon Draisaitl contributes 10 points (3 G and 7 A), while Evan Bouchard has 7 points (4 G and 3 A).
Calvin Pickard (4-0-0) will likely take his place in the cage for the Oilers on Tuesday against the Golden Knights. The 33-year-old is allowing 2.93 goals per game this playoffs with a .893 SV% and no shutouts.
Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights (54-24-10, 49-39 ATS) were 2-1 down in the series against the Minnesota Wild, but won the next three games to make it to the second round. Two of those three wins were in overtime, while the series-clinching one ended 3-2. Shea Theodore, Jack Eichel, and Mark Stone scored for Vegas, while Adin Hill stopped 29 of 31 shots he faced.
The Golden Knights score 3.00 goals per game on average in the playoffs (12th), while they concede 3.17 GPG (8th). This postseason, Jack Eichel leads the team with 5 points (1 G and 4 A). Tomas Hertl has 5 points (3 G and 2 A), while Mark Stone chips in with 4 points (2 G and 2 A).
Adin Hill (4-2-0) is expected to start for the Golden Knights in the goal on Tuesday against the Oilers. The 28-year-old is allowing 2.83 goals per game this playoffs with a .880 SV% and no shutouts.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Oilers’ last six road games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Golden Knights’ last eight games at T-Mobile Arena following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Thirteen of the last 15 games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last six games as favorites.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 16 of the Oilers’ last 17 games following a home win.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Vegas Golden Knights are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
- The Vegas Golden Knights rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.34).
- The Edmonton Oilers rank T3rd in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (4).
- The Edmonton Oilers are one of only three teams to win 30+ games when tied or trailing after Period 1 this season.
Oilers vs Golden Knights Prediction
The teams have traded wins in the last couple of years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the series is tied at 2-2. The Oilers are the most efficient team in the playoffs, but their defense is the second-worst, which promises us an exciting Game 1 on Tuesday. Five of Edmonton’s six games against the Kings went Over, while that was the case in four of Vegas’ six games against Minnesota. I know it’s only the opening game of the series and the teams could approach it cautiously, but I do expect a lot of goals. Go with Over.