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Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction 5/3/25 NHL Picks
Pick details
Dallas Stars (50-26-6) vs Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4)
May 3, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Stars +114 / Colorado Avalanche -135 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article, we will formulate an Avalanche vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, May 3, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview
The Colorado Avalanche (52-30-6, 39-49 ATS) played Game 6 of this series with their backs up against the wall and delivered a 7-4 victory to force Game 7. The Avs lost Game 5 in Dallas and were facing elimination, but thanks to a fantastic third period in Game 6, they are still alive. The Stars were up 4-3 after the first two periods, but Colorado scored four straight to secure a well-deserved win. The Avalanche outshot the Stars 48-26; Valeri Nichushkin scored two goals, while Cale Makar and Nathan MacKinnon contributed three points apiece. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 22 of 26 shots he faced.
The Avalanche average 3.33 goals per game this year (6th), while they allow 2.82 GPG (11th). Nathan MacKinnon leads the team with 126 points (38 G and 88 A). Cale Makar contributes 97 points (31 G and 66 A), while Artturi Lehkonen has 49 points (30 G and 19 A).
Mackenzie Blackwood (31-24-6) will likely take his place in the cage for the Avalanche on Saturday against the Stars. The 28-year-old is allowing 2.55 goals per game this year with a .912 SV% and four shutouts.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars (53-29-6, 40-48 ATS) had an opportunity to clinch the series after getting a 3-2 lead entering Game 6. They had a 4-3 lead following the opening two periods, but the Avs stunned them with four goals in the third, and now the Stars have another chance, this time at home. Roope Hintz led the offense with two goals and two assists, while Mikko Rantanen had a goal and three assists. Jake Oettinger saved 41 of 46 shots he faced.
The Stars score 3.35 goals per game on average (3rd), while they concede 2.71 GPG (6th). This season, Matt Duchene leads the team with 83 points (30 G and 53 A). Jason Robertson has 80 points (35 G and 45 A), while Wyatt Johnston chips in with 75 points (35 G and 40 A).
Jake Oettinger (39-21-4) is expected to start for the Stars at the goal on Saturday against the Avalanche. The 26-year-old is allowing 2.59 goals per game this year with a .909 SV% and two shutouts.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the last nine night games between the Avalanche and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games against the Stars following a win have gone OVER the total goals line at American Airlines Center.
- Each of the last four games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last 10 road games against the Stars.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 14 of the Stars’ last 17 games as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
- The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 2nd in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.32).
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 3rd in the league for shots against per game this season (25.9).
Avalanche vs Stars Prediction
The teams have traded wins in the last couple of years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H duels. The Avalanche won five of nine H2Hs this season, and seven of those nine produced 6+ goals. I expect to see at least six goals in this one, at 3+ from each side. This game has the potential to be the most interesting of the entire Round 1 and is surely not going to be a low-scoring one. I am going with Over.