Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction 8/9/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction for this MLS game on Saturday, August 9^th, at the Subaru Park. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLS matchup.

Philadelphia Union Preview

Philadelphia has 50 points this season and are sitting on the first place of the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia has a 15-5-5 record this season, and have a 9-1-3 home record. Philadelphia is coming off a 3-1 home victory over Colorado, and have three wins and two draws in their last five games. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games.

Philadelphia is averaging 1.72 goals per game, while allowing 0.96 goals per game. Thai Baribo is the top scorer for Philadelphia this season with 15 total goals.

Toronto FC Preview

Toronto has 21 points this season and are tied with Atlanta United on the 12^th place of the Eastern Conference. Toronto has a 5-13-6 record this season and have a 3-6-2 road record. Toronto is coming off a 0-2 road defeat by Charlotte, and have six losses in their last ten games. Over is 6-3 in their last 9 games.

Toronto is averaging 1.04 goals per game, while allowing 1.33 goals per game. Corbeanu Theodor is the top scorer for Toronto this season with 5 total goals.

Why Philadelphia Union will win

• Philadelphia Union has won each of its last four MLS home games.
• Philadelphia Union has won five of its last six MLS home games.
• Philadelphia Union has won four of its last five MLS games against Toronto FC at Subaru Park.
• Philadelphia Union has won nine of its last 10 MLS games as a favorite.
• Toronto FC has lost three of its last four MLS away games.
• The home team has won five of Philadelphia Union’s last six MLS games.
• The home team has won four of Toronto FC’s last six MLS games.
• The favorite has won five of Philadelphia Union’s last six MLS games.
• The favorite has won four of the last five MLS games between Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC at Subaru Park.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in three of Philadelphia Union’s last four MLS games as a favorite against Toronto FC.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in three of Toronto FC’s last four MLS games as an underdog against Philadelphia Union.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in six of the last seven MLS night games between Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 12 of the last 13 MLS games between Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Philadelphia Union’s last 10 MLS games as a favorite.
• The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Toronto FC’s last four MLS games.

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, Philadelphia won 2-1 in Toronto. Both teams are a balanced 3-3-2 in their last 8 overall meetings, but Philadelphia is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home meetings against Toronto. Over is a strong 12-1 in their last 13 overall meetings.

In this Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, Philadelphia is coming as -225 home favorites. Philadelphia is rightfully favored, as they have almost 30 points more than Toronto, and they are the best team in the Eastern Conference. They have been extremely strong at home, and have been dominating Toronto at home, but they are a huge -225 favorite, which means we have to take the -1.5 spread in order to find some value. Philadelphia has won by 2 goals or more in half or less of their recent games, so I will take a pass on this bet.

Both teams are playing some higher scoring games lately, going for 9-4 to the over in their last 13 games combined, and the over is a dominating 12-1 in their last 13 head-to-head games. Their previous meeting this season produced three total goals, and I like another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 2.75 goals in this one.