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Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks
Pick details
Atlanta Braves (21-21) vs Washington Nationals (17-26)
May 14, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -170 / Washington Nationals +142 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves meet Wednesday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Washington Nationals will start Mitchell Parker here, and Parker is 3-3 with a 3.97 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. In his career, Parker is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the Braves. The Atlanta Braves will trot out Bryce Elder for the start here, and Elder is 2-2 with a 4.97 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. In his career, Elder is 2-1 with a 3.16 ERA and 17 strikeouts against the Nationals.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-2 loss at the hands of the Braves in Tuesday’s matchup to slip to 17-26 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head on the road for an interleague series against the Baltimore Orioles.
Nationals’ Losing Streak Hits Double Digits
Keibert Ruiz has 40 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 14 RBIs, while James Wood has 44 hits with 10 doubles and a team-high 11 home runs, along with 24 RBIs and 5 stolen bases, while also putting up 49 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 37 hits with 7 doubles and 29 RBIs, along with 7 home runs and a team-high 49 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 4 home runs and 14 RBIs along with 8 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 6 doubles and 6 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged a team-high 10 stolen bases this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won seven of their last eight Wednesday games as underdogs against the Braves.
- The Braves have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday games at Truist Park.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three games against the Braves.
- Amed Rosario has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Keibert Ruiz has scored a run in four of the Nationals’ last five games at Truist Park.
- Jacob Young has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- James Wood ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves will be out to add on to their win over the Nationals last time out to improve to 21-21 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series in interleague play against the Boston Red Sox.
Braves Finally Get Back To .500
Austin Riley leads the Braves with 48 hits, including 8 home runs, 25 RBIs, and 7 doubles, but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 51 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 34 hits with 5 home runs and 15 RBIs in addition to 5 stolen bases, and Matt Olson has 33 hits with 6 doubles, 7 home runs, and 21 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 35 hits with 6 home runs and 15 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 37 hits with 8 doubles, 3 home runs, and 25 RBIs and 7 stolen bases as well, and Nick Allen has 5 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games.
- The Braves have won each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has recorded an RBI in four of the Braves’ last five games against NL East opponents.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last nine night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of his last six Wednesday night appearances at Truist Park.
- Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
- Orlando Arcia has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.424) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Nationals and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Nationals’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’m on the Braves here. Is Bryce Elder my favorite option in this Braves rotation? No, but the Nationals are unbackable right now, and Parker has been far less effective on the road this season. I think that the Braves continue to add to Washington’s misery and get the win on the road here. Give me the Braves in this one.