Helmet, People, Person

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/13/25 MLB Picks

Pick details

Atlanta Braves (20-21) vs Washington Nationals (17-25)

May 13, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -230 / Washington Nationals +190 — Over/Under: 8

(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves meet Tuesday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Washington Nationals will start Michael Soroka for the start here, and Soroka is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. This will be Soroka’s first career start against the Braves. Spencer Schwellenbach will get the nod for the Braves here and is 1-3 with a 3.42 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. This will be Schwellenbach’s second career start against the Nationals.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to bounce back from their 4-3 loss at the hands of the Braves in Monday’s series opener to fall to 17-25 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head on the road for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Nationals Drop Nine In A Row

Keibert Ruiz has 40 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 14 RBIs, while James Wood has 44 hits with 10 doubles and a team-high 11 home runs, along with 24 RBIs and 5 stolen bases, while also putting up 49 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 37 hits with 7 doubles and 29 RBIs, along with 7 home runs and a team-high 49 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 4 home runs and 14 RBIs along with 8 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 6 doubles and 6 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged a team-high 10 stolen bases this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Nationals have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against the Braves following a road loss.
  • The Braves have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites against the Nationals following a win.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the Nationals’ last six games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Keibert Ruiz has hit a home run in three of his last seven road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jacob Young has scored at least one run in eight of the Nationals’ last nine road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Nationals’ last seven road games against NL East opponents.
  • Michael Soroka has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine appearances at Truist Park.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Nationals’ last seven road games against NL East opponents.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • James Wood ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves will try to add on to their win over the Nationals from Monday’s matchup to improve to 20-21 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Boston Red Sox.

Braves Looking For Consistency After Alternating Wins & Losses In 7 Straight

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 48 hits, including 8 home runs, 25 RBIs, and 7 doubles, but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 51 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 34 hits with 5 home runs and 15 RBIs in addition to 5 stolen bases, and Matt Olson has 33 hits with 6 doubles, 7 home runs, and 21 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 35 hits with 6 home runs and 15 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 37 hits with 8 doubles, 3 home runs, and 25 RBIs, and 7 stolen bases as well, and Nick Allen has 5 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last 24 Tuesday night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have lost each of their last six games.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six Tuesday games against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Verdugo has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Nationals.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Braves’ last five games against NL opponents.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last four games against NL East opponents.
  • Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
  • Orlando Arcia has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.428) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Braves’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m on the Braves here. I get the case to be made for the Nationals catching a decent amount of plus money here, but I’m not overly sold on Soroka in this start, and he wasn’t great last season, and that inconsistent form has carried over to this year. On the other side, I think the Braves have almost turned it around after a rough start to the year, and Schwellenbach is a much better starter than what he’s shown to this point. Give me the Braves -1.5 here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks