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Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/12/25 MLB Picks

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Atlanta Braves (19-21) vs Washington Nationals (17-24)

May 12, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -175 / Washington Nationals +145 — Over/Under: 9

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The Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves meet Monday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction. This article will include a Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 17-24 on the year and play the Orioles, Braves, and Giants next. The Washington Nationals are batting .239 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and a .379 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 5.45 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. James Wood leads the Washington Nationals with 43 hits and 23 RBI, while Keibert Ruiz and Nathaniel Lowe have combined for 75 hits and 43 RBI. 

Jake Irvin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 2-1 with a 3.94 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. Irvin is 2-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 19-21 on the year and play the Red Sox, Nationals, and Padres next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .237 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and a .380 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Austin Riley leads the Atlanta Braves with 47 hits and 25 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Ozzie Albies have combined for 69 hits and 39 RBI.

Grant Holmes gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 2-3 with a 4.58 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. This will be Holmes’ second career game against the Washington Nationals.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won nine of their last 10 night games against the Nationals following a loss.
  • The Nationals have lost each of their last five night games against the Braves at Truist Park following a home loss.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games at Truist Park following a road loss.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Nationals have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Braves following a home loss.
  • The Braves have lost four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 road games following a home loss.
  • The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in four of his last five Monday night appearances against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Braves’ last six games at Truist Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Alex Verdugo has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances against the Nationals.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last 10 games against NL opponents.
  • Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last four games against NL East opponents.
  • Josh Bell has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Braves.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Nationals’ last six road games against NL East opponents.
  • CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL opponents.

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Nationals were hovering around a .500 record and were a decent look as an underdog, but now they’ve lost five straight games, and the offense isn’t producing. The Nats have scored two or fewer runs in four of their last five games, and they’ve scored a combined three runs in their last three games. Irvin has been decent through 48 innings, but it doesn’t matter if the Nationals can’t score. The Braves continue to be hit or miss, and Holmes can have shaky starts here and there, but he has a 3.00 ERA at home through 21 innings, and he’s allowing a .207 batting average on the season. If the Braves are serious about going on a run and staying in the playoff chase, these are games they need to take advantage of. There’s a gap between these teams, it’s time the Braves start to show it. Give me the Braves and the RL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5