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Twins vs Orioles Prediction 5/13/25 MLB Picks
Pick details
Baltimore Orioles (15-24) vs Minnesota Twins (21-20)
May 13, 2025 at 06:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -135 / Minnesota Twins +114 — Over/Under: 9.5
In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 13th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 21-20 this year after they won all three games against the Giants by scores of 3-1, 2-1, and 7-6. In their game three win, Minnesota blew a 5-4 lead in the eighth inning, but they were able to score twice in the 10th for the win. The Twins recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Lee, who went 3-5 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Minnesota started Lopez, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Duran got the win in extras.
Prior to that series, the Twins won all three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Red Sox. Minnesota has won eight games in a row, and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 164 runs with a .238 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with nine home runs and 26 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added six home runs and 20 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 2-2 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 33.2 innings pitched this year.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 15-24 this season after they won two out of three against the Angels by scores of 4-1, 2-5, and 7-3. In their game three win, Baltimore trailed 2-1 after the first inning, but they scored the next six runs in the game to pull away with the win. The Orioles recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Handley and Henderson, who both had two RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Eflin, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Bautista allowed one hit and one earned run in the ninth.
Prior to that series, the Orioles lost all three against the Twins and two out of three against the Royals. Baltimore has lost six of their last eight games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP and a .277 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 147 runs with a .227 batting average and a .296 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with seven home runs and 21 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added seven home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cade Povich, who is 1-3 with a 5.55 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 35.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Twins will beat the Orioles
- The Twins have won each of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday games against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Twins’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Orioles’ last 10 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last eight Tuesday night games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games against AL Central opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Tyler O’Neill has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances against the Twins.
- Cedric Mullins has recorded a Single in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances with the Orioles as favorites.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Twins.
- Gary Sanchez has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last three night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins’ last four games as underdogs.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
- Byron Buxton has scored a run in each of his six previous appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Willi Castro has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against AL opponents.
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Twins vs Orioles Prediction
Minnesota comes into this series as one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last two weeks, but they are just 6-14 on the road. Minnesota has won eight games in a row, and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of its last five. Baltimore is coming off a series win, but they are just 15-24 on the season and 8-9 at home. The Orioles are starting Povich, who has allowed 5+ earned runs in two of his last four starts. The Twins are going with Woods Richardson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. I know Woods Richardson doesn’t go deep into games, but I have to side with the Twins here.