Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 5/7/25 MLB Picks

The Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox meet Wednesday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Pick.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 18-18 on the year and play the Tigers, Rockies, and Astros next. The Texas Rangers are batting .234 on the season, have a .289 OBP, and a .362 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers’ pitching staff has a 3.37 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Texas Rangers with 31 hits and 9 RBI, while Adolis Garcia and Wyatt Langford have combined for 57 hits and 32 RBI. 

Tyler Mahle gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 3-1 with a 1.19 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. Mahle is 0-0 with a 4.26 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 18-19 on the year and play the Royals, Tigers, and Braves next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .253 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and a .416 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Alex Bregman leads the Boston Red Sox with 45 hits and 27 RBI, while Jarren Duran and Trevor Story have combined for 78 hits and 35 RBI.

Tanner Houck gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 0-2 with a 6.38 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Houck is 0-2 with a 5.55 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Texas Rangers.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Rangers have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have won five of their last six games against the Rangers at Fenway Park following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The favorites have covered the run line in three of the Rangers’ last four games.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last seven games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Story has recorded at least one Double in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Rangers.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
• Trevor Story has recorded two or more hits in each of his four previous home appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents.
• Jarren Duran ranks T5th in the league in Steals (11) this season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Langford has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Rangers’ last six road games against AL East opponents.
• Corey Seager has scored a run in each of the Rangers’ last seven games at Fenway Park.
• Tyler Mahle has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rangers’ last six games against the Red Sox.
• Leody Taveras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against the Red Sox.

Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox have been the better team overall, so they’re going to get the benefit of the doubt, but they’ve also lost five of their last six games. Houck is coming off a flawless performance against the Blue Jays, but he’s still allowed 42 hits and 26 earned runs in 36.2 innings. No, thanks. The Rangers are having a strong week, and Mahle has allowed 21 hits and four runs in his last 36 innings. While he may not get much national attention, Mahle has been arguably the best starting pitcher since April. Mahle has the third-best ERA and the 12th-best WHIP in baseball. I’ll gladly take the Rangers and the even money.