Pittsburgh Pirates (56-64) vs Seattle Mariners (63-59)
August 16, 2024 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -125 / Seattle Mariners +105 — Over/Under: 6.5
In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 16th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:
- The Pirates recent form and recent player performance
- The Mariners recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Seattle
- Recent betting trends in games played between Pittsburgh and Seattle
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Pittsburgh and Seattle
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 56-64 this year and they have lost 10 games in a row. Pittsburgh is coming off of a series loss against San Diego, where they lost all three games. Prior to that series, the Pirates lost all three against the Dodgers, lost all three against the Padres, and lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Pittsburgh is just 1-12 in their last 13 games and they are last in the NL Central.
The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 496 runs with a .235 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .285 with 19 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Pirates this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 63-59 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Seattle is coming off of a series loss against Detroit, where they lost all three games and blew eighth inning leads in games two and three. Prior to that series, the Mariners swept the Mets, lost two out of three against the Tigers, and won two out of three against the Phillies. Seattle is 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are second in the AL West.
The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and a .223 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 481 runs with a .216 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .214 with 26 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Mariners this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Paul Skenes, who is 6-2 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 92.0 innings pitched this year. Skenes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 7-8 with a 2.91 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP over 154.2 innings pitched this season. Gilbert has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts.
Why the Pirates will beat the Mariners
- The home team has won each of the Mariners’ last seven games.
- The Mariners have lost five of their last six road games.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Mariners’ last six games.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Mariners’ last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Pirates’ last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven games against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last three night games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Michael A. Taylor has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded an RBI in each of the Pirates’ last four home games against AL opponents.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Jack Suwinski has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
- Jared Triolo has recorded at least one total base in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jared Triolo has recorded a Double in each of the Pirates’ last three games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Dylan Moore has hit a home run in three of his five previous appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Logan Gilbert has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Mariners as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Pittsburgh comes into this series trying to snap their 10 game losing streak and they will have Paul Skenes on the mound. The Pirates are 27-31 at home, while the Mariners are 26-33 on the road. Seattle is trying to stay with Houston in the race for the AL West, but losing all three games in Detroit has to be deflating. Both of these pitchers have been very good this season and runs should be hard to come by, but I can’t trust this Seattle offense. My Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for the Pirates to win.