Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 14th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 22-22 this year, and they have lost the first two games in this series by scores of 14-2 and 10-9. In their game two loss, the Red Sox led 4-3 in the fifth, 7-6 in the 10th, and 9-7 in the 11th, but allowed the Tigers to win the game in the bottom of the 11th. Boston recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hamilton, Rafaela, and Campbell, who all had two RBIs in the loss. Boston started Bello, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Weissert picked up the loss in extras. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Royals and two out of three against the Rangers. Boston has lost three of their last five games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 216 runs with a .254 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this season. Alex Bregman has led Boston with 10 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added 11 home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Hunter Dobbins, who is 2-1 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 22.2 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 28-15 this season after they won game two by a score of 10-9 in extra innings. Detroit blew a 6-4 lead in the eighth inning, but they did a great job of battling and ended up winning on a walk-off home run by Baez in the 11th inning. The Tigers recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Baez, who went 2-4 with two home runs and six RBIs in the win. Detroit used Montero as the primary pitcher, and he allowed five hits and three earned runs over 3.1 innings, while Kahnle picked up a blown save and Brieske got the win. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Rangers, but did win all three games against the Rockies before that. Detroit has won seven of its last nine games, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.20 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 238 runs with a .261 batting average and a .334 on-base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with 11 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Kerry Carpenter has added nine home runs and 21 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 4-2 with a 2.08 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 47.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Red Sox 

• The Tigers have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four games at Comerica Park.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in five of their last six home games after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Tigers’ last six home games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox’s last five night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine night games between the Red Sox and Tigers at Comerica Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five night games at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Red Sox.
• Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games against AL East opponents.
• Kerry Carpenter has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in three of the Tigers’ last four games against AL East opponents.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 appearances in night games.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against the Tigers.
• Abraham Toro has scored at least one run in five of his last six road appearances against the Tigers.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in six of the Red Sox’s last seven road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

David Racey is 22-11 (67%) in the MLB over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit was able to pick up a very dramatic win on Tuesday night in extra innings, and they have been red hot over the last two weeks. The Tigers are 16-5 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 11-13 on the road. Boston has allowed 24 runs in this series, and they are starting Dobbins, who has been pretty solid in four starts but has allowed a decent amount of hits. Detroit is going with Skubal, who has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB this year. There is no way that I am going against Skubal, so I will take the Tigers -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Pick: Tigers -1.5