Rangers vs Tigers Prediction 5/9/25 MLB Picks

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Detroit Tigers (25-13) vs Texas Rangers (18-20)

May 9, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers -270 / Texas Rangers +220 — Over/Under: 7.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 9th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 18-20 this year after they lost two out of three against Boston by scores of 6-1, 4-6, 0-5. In their game three loss, Texas fell behind in the second inning and was never able to score in the shutout loss. The Rangers recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Barnhart, who had three hits in the loss. Texas started Leiter, who allowed three hits and four earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Latz pitched the final 2.2 innings in the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Rangers lost two out of three against the Mariners and three out of four against the Athletics. Texas has lost six of its last eight games, and they are currently fourth in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 123 runs with a .232 batting average and a .290 on-base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with five home runs and 20 RBIs, while Wyatt Langford has added six home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Patrick Corbin, who is 2-1 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 24.2 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 25-13 this season after they swept the Rockies in three games by scores of 8-6, 10-2, and 11-1. In their game three win, Detroit trailed 1-0 in the second inning, but they scored six runs in the third and pulled away with the win. The Tigers recorded 14 hits in the game, and they were led by Malloy and Torres, who both had three RBIs in the win. Detroit started Montero, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 8.0 innings for the win. 

Prior to that series, the Tigers won three out of four against the Angels, but did lose two out of three against the Astros before that. Detroit has won seven of its last eight games, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 2.95 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .219 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 208 runs with a .262 batting average and a .335 on-base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with 10 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Kerry Carpenter has added eight home runs and 20 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 3-2 with a 2.21 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 40.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Rangers 

  • The Tigers have won nine of their last 10 home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have lost each of their last four road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Tigers’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Rangers’ last eight road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Tigers’ last 10 home games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Rangers’ last five games against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Javier Baez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers against AL opponents.
  • Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL West opponents.
  • Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games.
  • Spencer Torkelson has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers’ last nine games as favorites.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • Spencer Torkelson has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last three games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Joc Pederson has recorded a Double in three of the Rangers’ last four road games.
  • Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Corey Seager has recorded an RBI in each of the Rangers’ last four road games against AL Central opponents.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Rangers as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Corey Seager has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.

Rangers vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit comes into this series looking for their fifth win in a row, and they have been one of the top teams in the MLB to start the season. The Tigers are second in the MLB in runs scored, and they also have a great pitching staff. Detroit is starting Skubal, who has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last five starts. Texas is going with Corbin, who has actually been very solid this season, despite a pretty rocky career. Texas is only 6-12 on the road, and I don’t like their offense against Skubal. Take the Tigers -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Pick: Tigers -1.5

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