Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 14, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates (14-29, 5-16 Away) managed to snap a seven-game losing skid with a win over the Braves, and they won that series against Atlanta after being swept by the Padres and Cardinals. The Pirates will lose the current series against the Mets, following 4-3 and 2-1 losses. Mitch Keller took the loss in the latest game after allowing two runs on five hits with eight strikeouts and one walk in 5.0 innings.

This year, the Pirates average 3.05 runs per game (30th in the MLB) on a .219/.300/.325 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Pirates’ staff has a 4.10 ERA (21st) and 1.26 WHIP (16th). Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with a .198 batting average, five home runs, and 20 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Pirates is Bailey Falter, who is 2-3 in eight starts this season, with a 4.36 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 43.1 innings.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (28-15, 17-4 Home) beat the Diamondbacks and Cubs and then opened this series against the Pirates with a pair of victories. The Mets are now looking to sweep their first series since April 23 against Philadelphia. In a 2-1 victory on Tuesday, Kodai Senga pitched for 5.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on six hits with seven strikeouts and two walks. Max Kranick was credited with the win.

This season, the Mets average 4.77 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .254/.333/.431 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.81 ERA (1st) and 1.24 WHIP (13th). Pete Alonso leads the Pirates with a .310 batting average, nine home runs, and 36 RBI this season.

Clay Holmes will take the mound for the Mets on Wednesday. The 32-year-old right-hander has a 5-1 record in eight starts this year with a 2.74 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 42.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Pirates’ last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six Wednesday games at Citi Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Pirates’ last seven games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (26).
• The Mets rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (136).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (128).
• The Pirates rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (29).

Pirates vs Mets Prediction

The Mets won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last four. Pittsburgh is the least efficient team in the MLB, which barely scores over 3.00 runs per game, and considering they are facing Clay Holmes, I doubt the Pirates will score more than two runs here. Holmes allowed six runs in his previous five starts, while Bailey Ober posted consecutive quality starts and surrendered just one run in the process (13.0 innings). Eight of the Pirates’ last ten games went Under, and I am going with another Under in this one.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Under 8.5