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New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5/12/25 MLB Picks
Pick details
Seattle Mariners (22-17) vs New York Yankees (23-17)
May 12, 2025 at 09:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners +0.0001 / New York Yankees +0.0001 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 12, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees (23-17, 10-9 Away) lost the series against the Orioles and Rays, but bounced back against the Padres and Athletics. New York won two of three against the A’s, including Sunday’s 12-2 victory. In that one, Ben Rice hit the first grand slam of his career to lead the Yankees’ offense, while Ryan Yarbrough got the win after allowing two runs on six hits with two strikeouts and one walk across 5.0 innings of work.
This year, the Yankees average 5.88 runs per game (1st in the MLB) on a .263/.348/.481 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.71 ERA (10th) and 1.20 WHIP (9th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .409 batting average, 14 home runs, and 39 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Clarke Schmidt, who is 0-1 in four starts this season, with a 4.79 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 20.2 innings.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners (22-17, 12-9 Home) won nine consecutive series but couldn’t make it ten in a row after losing to the Toronto Blue Jays at home. That was the second time this year the Mariners were swept; they scored just seven runs in three games, and suffered a 9-1 defeat in Game 3. Bryce Miller took the loss after allowing seven runs on eight hits with three strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.
This season, the Mariners average 4.92 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .243/.333/.406 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 4.00 ERA (17th) and 1.33 WHIP (22nd). Jorge Polanco leads the Yankees with a .327 batting average, nine home runs, and 28 RBI this season.
Emerson Hancock will take the mound for the Mariners on Monday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in five starts this year with a 5.70 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 23.2 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last five road games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mariners’ last 10 games against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank T5th in the league for home runs this season (53).
- The Mariners rank T26th in the league for triples this season (2).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.481).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.348).
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction
The Yankees won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last five. Eight of Seattle’s last ten games went Over, and I am backing Over in this one as well. The Mariners’ pitching showed flaws in the recent series against the Blue Jays, and I am sure the Yankees will find the way to exploit those and score multiple runs off Hancock, who allowed multiple runs in each of his five starts this season. Also, I don’t trust Schmidt, who is currently the worst of all New York’s starters in rotation. Go with Over.