New York Yankees vs Oakland Athletics Prediction 5/11/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Athletics prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 11, at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (22-17, 9-9 Home) bounced back from series losses to the Orioles and Rays with a win over the Padres. The Yanks opened the current series against the A’s with a 10-2 win but lost the following tilt 11-7. Aaron Judge led the offense with three RBI, while Carlos Rodon pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs on eight hits with ten strikeouts and no walks. Fernando Cruz took the loss.

This year, the Yankees average 5.72 runs per game (2nd in the MLB) on a .260/.344/.478 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.75 ERA (12th) and 1.20 WHIP (9th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .396 batting average, 14 home runs, and 37 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is still unknown, as they haven’t announced it yet at the time of writing.

Athletics Betting Preview

The Athletics (21-19, 8-12 Home) were on a three-game losing skid for the first time in more than a month, but avoided the fourth in a row with an 11-7 victory over the Yankees on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Athletics lost to the Mariners. In Saturday’s win over the Yanks, Shea Langeliers led the team with five RBI, while JP Sears pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on four hits with four strikeouts and one walk. Grant Holman was credited with the win.

This season, the Athletics average 4.45 runs per game (15th in the MLB) on a .259/.319/.424 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Athletics’ staff has a 4.64 ERA (25th) and 1.43 WHIP (24th). Tyler Soderstrom leads the Athletics with a .288 batting average, nine home runs, and 27 RBI this season.

Luis Severino will take the mound for the Athletics on Sunday. The 31-year-old right-hander has a 1-3 record in eight starts this year with a 3.62 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 49.8 innings.

Why the Athletics will cover

• The Athletics have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a win.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against the Athletics following a road loss.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Athletics’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Yankees’ last 12 games as favorites against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Athletics’ last 16 games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Athletics rank T27th in the league for steals this season (18).
• The Athletics rank 5th in the league for batting average this season (.259).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.344).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.211).

Yankees vs Athletics Prediction

The Yankees won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last five. I still don’t know the starter for New York, while Luis Severino will be highly motivated to perform well against his former team, so I am giving a slight advantage to the A’s. Severino limited the opponents to one run in three of his previous five starts. I am not saying the hosts will get the win, but they will stay close and cover the run line.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Athletics +1.5