Pittsburgh Pirates (29-32) vs Minnesota Twins (33-28)
June 7, 2024 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +105 / Minnesota Twins -115 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Minnesota Twins and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Friday in MLB action from PNC Park. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The Minnesota Twins recent form and player performance
The Pittsburgh Pirates recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates
Recent betting trends in games played between the Twins and Pirates
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Twins vs Pirates game
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Twins played the New York Yankees in their early-week series. Minnesota lost the opener of that set 5-1. In game two on Tuesday the Twins took another loss 9-5. In the finale Minnesota fell once again 8-5. Pablo Lopez had a rough night as starter with 4.0 innings and seven earned runs.
As starter for Friday’s game the Twins are sending out Joe Ryan. This year Ryan is 4-4 with a 3.38 ERA in 12 starts. He’s got 77 Ks in 72.0 innings. Ryan is 30-23 with a 3.93 ERA in 73 career starts.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
Over on the Pirates’ side, they took on the Los Angeles Dodgers this week. Pittsburgh powered out a 1-0 victory in the opener of that series, then on Wednesday the Pirates bagged another win 10-6. In the finale the Pirates managed 14 team hits in an 11-7 loss. Starting pitcher Bailey Falter managed 4.0 innings in the start with five earned on eight hits and two walks.
In the starter slot for Friday’s game Pittsburgh will go with Mitch Keller. So far in 2024 Keller is 7-3 with a 3.42 ERA in 12 starts. Keller has 66 Ks in 73.2 innings total. Over his career, Keller is 32-41 with a 4.55 ERA in 114 games (112 starts). The Pirates will meet the Cardinals after this series.
Twins vs Pirates Injury Notes
Pirates CF Ji Hwan Bae was placed on the 10-day Injured List Tuesday with a sprained right wrist. CF Michael A. Taylor was placed on paternity leave Tuesday.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Mitch Keller has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Pirates as underdogs.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances after playing the previous day.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Pirates’ last seven games at PNC Park against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last eight home games.
- Mitch Keller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 11 games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Edward Olivares has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
- Edward Olivares has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Carlos Correa has recorded a Double in each of his last five Friday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
- Joe Ryan has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Twins as favorites against NL opponents.
- Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his 11 previous Friday appearances in night games.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Pirates.
Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I may take a stab on Pittsburgh here. The Pirates should get a good start from Keller, who has been good lately. Over his last three starts combined Keller is 3-0 with four earned runs in 18.2 innings total. Keller has 13 hits and four walks in that time. As for Ryan, he gave up five earned in 5.0 innings his last time up but had just one earned in 14.0 innings prior to that.
On Thursday the Pirates took a tough loss but they really only had a couple of bad innings. The offense was working quite well also; Oneil Cruz and Nick Gonzales combined for two homers and five RBI. If the Pirates can keep the bats going Friday they should have a decent shot.