Clothing, Glove, Helmet

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks

Pick details

Baltimore Orioles (15-24) vs Minnesota Twins (21-20)

May 14, 2025 at 12:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -118 / Minnesota Twins -102 — Over/Under: 9

(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and Baltimore Orioles meet Wednesday in a MLB doubleheader at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 21-20 on the year and play the Brewers, Guardians, and Royals next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .238 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .373 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Ty France leads the Minnesota Twins with 39 hits and 21 RBI, while Trevor Larnach and Byron Buxton have combined for 75 hits and 46 RBI. 

Bailey Ober and Simeon Woods Richardson will get the ball for the Minnesota Twins.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 15-24 on the year and play the Nationals, Brewers, and Red Sox next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .227 on the season, have a .296 OBP, and a .386 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 34 hits and 9 RBI, while Ryan O’Hearn and Cedric Mullins have combined for 60 hits and 35 RBI.

Dean Kremer and TBD will get the ball for the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The home team has won each of the Twins’ last six games.
  • The Twins have lost seven of their last eight road games after going to extra innings.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Twins following a road win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games after going to extra innings.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 games against the Twins.
  • The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home day games.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Twins have won each of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
  • The Orioles have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a win.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 13 day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Ramon Laureano has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Twins.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games against AL Central opponents.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against the Twins.
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Gary Sanchez has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyler O’Neill has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances against the Twins.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against AL opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Willi Castro has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games against AL opponents.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins’ last four games as underdogs.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Wednesday appearances.
  • Byron Buxton has scored a run in each of his six previous appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Twins as underdogs.

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Game 1 Prediction: The Twins have won eight straight games, while the Orioles continue to slump. There’s not much suggesting a change in game 1 given the pitching advantage. Ober has been respectable this season, and that includes allowing 23 hits and three earned runs in his last 18.2 innings. Kremer has been better lately, but he still has a 5.24 ERA and .261 allowed batting average. I just don’t get the warm and fuzzy feeling from the Orioles, and this pitching matchup isn’t great. Give me the Twins.  

Game 2 Prediction: We don’t know who the Orioles are throwing on the bump at the time of this writing, but who cares? The Orioles are nine games below a .500 record and have one of the worst pitching staffs in baseball through 39 games. Woods Richardson has been inconsistent this season, and I’m not thrilled to see a 5.30 ERA and .301 allowed batting average in 18.2 road innings. Still, the Orioles aren’t good. Give me the Twins to sweep the doubleheader. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Game 1: Minnesota Twins / Game 2: Minnesota Twins