Kansas City Royals (20-14) vs Milwaukee Brewers (20-12)
May 6, 2024 at 07:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals -149 / Milwaukee Brewers +126 — Over/Under: 9
The Milwaukee Brewers and the Kansas City Royals meet Monday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Bryse Wilson will get the start for the Brewers here and is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Wilson’s first career start against the Royals. Cole Ragans will get the start for the Royals here and is 2-2 with a 3.44 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. This will be Ragans’ first career start against the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to rebound from a 5-0 loss at the hands of the Chicago Cubs. The series loss for the Brewers cancelled out their series win over the Rays to start the week and was their second in three series after a series loss to the Yankees the weekend prior.
Contreras Leading Charge For Brew Crew
William Contreras leads the Brewers with 44 hits including 9 doubles and 27 RBIs along with 5 home runs and a .411 OBP while Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins each have a team-high 6 home runs with Adames logging 7 doubles. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 14 stolen bases while Jackson Chourio has a team-high 35 strikeouts as well this season.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryse Wilson Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 3.00
- The Royals have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites following an extra innings loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 20 of their last 22 games as road underdogs.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Kansas City Royals Recap
The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to bounce back after a 3-2 loss in Sunday’s series finale against the Texas Rangers, losing the rubber match and giving the Royals their second series loss in three sets after upending the Blue Jays in the series prior.
Royals Still Swinging Hot Bats
Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 44 hits including 4 home runs, 19 RBIs, 5 triples and 10 doubles while Salvador Perez has a team-high 8 home runs and 30 RBIs with 40 hits of his own. Nelson Velazquez also has a team-high 31 strikeouts while Witt Jr. has a team-high 11 stolen bases and Maikel Garcia has 8 stolen bases this season.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cole Ragans Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 3.44
- The Royals have won five of their last six night games at Kauffman Stadium following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Monday games against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games following a loss.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
I’m on the Royals here. I get the allure of plus money with the Brewers, who have been one of the best road teams in the league to this point, but they’ve really had issues against left-handed pitching, and I don’t see that changing against Ragans, who has been one of the more effective starters the Royals have had this season. I’m just not 100% sold on Bryse Wilson in a spot in this Brewers rotation, and think that Kansas City has a lot of value in this spot so give me the Royals here.