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Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 5/13/25 MLB Picks

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Chicago Cubs (24-18) vs Miami Marlins (15-25)

May 13, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -250 / Miami Marlins +205 — Over/Under: 0.0001

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The Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs meet Tuesday in MLB action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 15-25 on the year and play the Rays, Cubs, and Angels next. The Miami Marlins are batting .246 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .376 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 5.70 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 42 hits and 11 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Eric Wagaman have combined for 69 hits and 36 RBI. 

Valente Bellozo gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-2 with a 3.50 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. This will be Bellozo’s second career game against the Chicago Cubs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 24-18 on the year and play the White Sox, Marlins, and Reds next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .253 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .441 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Kyle Tuker leads the Chicago Cubs with 44 hits and 33 RBI, while Ian Happ and Nico Hoerner have combined for 85 hits and 35 RBI.

Ben Brown gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 3-3 with a 4.95 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. This will be Brown’s second career game against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have won each of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday night road games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Cubs have lost five of their last seven games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Marlins have won four of their last six games as underdogs against the Cubs following a road loss.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against the Marlins at Wrigley Field following a win.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in five of their last six night games at Wrigley Field following a loss.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded an RBI in each of the Cubs’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in 13 of the Cubs’ last 14 night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Cubs’ last 11 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 night games.
  • Seiya Suzuki ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in five of his last 21 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has scored a run in seven of his last eight Tuesday appearances.

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

The Marlins just can’t string together offense, as they’ve scored three or fewer runs in each of their last five games. So while Bellozo has shown flashes this season, including just holding the Dodgers scoreless through 5.1 innings, it doesn’t matter if the Marlins can’t score. Brown has taken his licks this season, especially at home, where he has a 7.91 ERA and .341 allowed batting average in 19.1 innings. The Cubs are still the better team, and if there was ever a spot for Brown to settle in, it would be against this slumping Marlins offense. Give me the Cubs, and I’ll take the RL to shave down the price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Chicago Cubs -1.5