Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs – 8/7/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

Pick details

August 7, 2022 at 12:51 AM EDT

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The Miami Marlins will play the Chicago Cubs in Game 3 of their series at Wrigley Field on Sunday afternoon.

The Miami Marlins are 48-59 this season and have lost seven of their last eight games. Miami has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 2-1 and 4-0. The Miami pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 412 runs with a .236 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Jesus Aguilar is batting .241 with 13 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. The projected starter for Miami is Jesus Luzardo, who is 2-4 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 34 innings pitched this season.

The Chicago Cubs are 43-63 this season and have lost five of their last seven games. Prior to winning the first two games of this series, Chicago lost all three of the games in their series against St. Louis. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.33 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 439 runs with a .242 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this year. Patrick Wisdom is batting .221 with 20 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. The projected starter for Chicago is Adrian Sampson, who is 0-2 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 43.1 innings pitched this season.

Miami is 5-2 in their last 7 Sunday games and 1-7 in their last 8 games. The under is 5-0 in Miami’s last 5 games. Chicago is 5-0 in their last 5 home games and 3-7 in their last 10 Sunday games. The under is 9-1-2 in Chicago’s last 12 home games. Miami is 7-3 in these two teams last 10 head to head meetings.

Miami started the season playing fairly well, but has really gone the wrong direction over the last few months. Miami will start Jesus Luzardo, who allowed two runs over five innings pitched in his first start since coming off of a lengthy IL stint. For the Cubs, Adrian Sampson has allowed eight runs in his last 16.1 innings pitched. I like the under in this game with two offenses that have had their issues this season.

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