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Marlins vs Cubs Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks

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Chicago Cubs (25-18) vs Miami Marlins (15-26)

May 14, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -225 / Miami Marlins +185 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 14th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 15-26 this season, and they have lost the first two games in this series by scores of 5-2 and 5-4. In their game two loss, Miami led 4-2 in the seventh inning, but they crumbled late in the game for the loss. The Marlins recorded nine hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Sanchez, Stowers, Norby, and Sanoja, who all had one RBI in the loss. Miami started Bellozo, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Tinoco allowed two hits and two earned runs for the blown save.  

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Dodgers. Miami has lost five of its last six games, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.64 ERA with a 1.52 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 170 runs with a .246 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with eight home runs and 27 RBIs, while Matt Mervis has added seven home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Weathers, who is making his first appearance of the season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 25-18 this year after they won game two by a score of 5-4 on Tuesday night. Chicago never led in the game, and they trailed 4-2 in the ninth, but they scored three runs in the final inning for the win. The Cubs recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Turner and Crow-Armstrong, who both had two RBIs in the win. Chicago started Brown, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Flexen picked up the win out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Mets and two out of three against the Giants. Chicago has won three of their last four games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 243 runs with a .251 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Tucker has led Chicago with 10 home runs, 33 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases, while Seiya Suzuki has added 10 home runs and 34 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jameson Taillon, who is 2-2 with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 43.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Marlins 

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last six road games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cubs have won each of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Wednesday night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Marlins will beat the Cubs 

  • The Cubs have lost nine of their last 12 night games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games at Wrigley Field following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Ten of the Marlins’ last 12 games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Cubs’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Cubs’ last nine home games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five games at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Justin Turner has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit at least one home run in six of the Cubs’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded an RBI in five of the Cubs’ last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last 10 Wednesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine home games against the Marlins.
  • Jameson Taillon has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ian Happ has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in five of his last 22 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in three of the Marlins’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in seven of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents.

David Racey is 22-11 (67%) in the MLB over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Marlins vs Cubs Prediction 

Chicago was able to avoid a bad loss to Miami on Tuesday night with a big ninth inning, and they will look to make it three in a row here. The Cubs are 12-9 at home this year, while the Marlins are 5-14 on the road. Miami has lost three games in a row, and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of its last five. The Marlins are starting Weathers, who is making his first appearance of the season. The Cubs are going with Taillon, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the under here. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 8.5

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