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Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 5/2/25 MLB Picks
Pick details
Toronto Blue Jays (14-16) vs Cleveland Guardians (18-13)
May 2, 2025 at 07:07 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -142 / Cleveland Guardians +120 — Over/Under: 8.5

In this article, we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 2nd, at the Rogers Centre. To formulate this prediction, we will look at:
-The Guardians’ recent form and recent player performance
-The Blue Jays’ recent form and recent player performance
-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto
-Recent betting trends in games played between Cleveland and Toronto
-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Guardians and Blue Jays.
Another Series Win
It was another series win for the Guardians, they they were able to pick up a 4-3 victory. The Guardians were outshot 13-6, but the pitchers did a good job of getting out of jams, and that led to the extra innings victory. Ben Lively went 5.2 innings and gave up five hits and zero runs. Over the last three games, the Guardians have given up only six runs total.
The Guardians are averaging 3.81 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.58 runs per game. The offense is ranked 233rd, while the pitching is ranked 20th. Even though the stats haven’t been great, they have continued to find a way to win games. Kyle Manzardo has hit eight home runs and driven in 20 RBIs. Getting the start for the Guardians will be Logan Allen, who sits with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 4.21. Against the Boston Red Sox, he went 4.1 innings, giving up nine hits and seven runs.
Solid Win for the Blue Jays
It was a good game for the Blue Jays on Thursday, and they picked up a 4-2 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays. Vladimir Guerrero Jr had a strong game, hitting a home run and driving in three RBIs. Jose Berrios went 6.2 innings, giving up seven hits and two runs. He was a bit inconsistent all season, but he made the solid pitches, and that was enough for the victory.
The Blue Jays are averaging 3.46 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.6 runs per game. The offense is ranked 26th, while the pitching is ranked 22nd. Anthony Santander had hit four home runs and driven in 12 RBIs. Getting the start for the Blue Jays will be Chris Bassitt, who sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 2.62. Against the New York Yankees in his last start, he went 5.2 innings, giving up six hits and four runs.
Why the Blue Jays Will Beat the Guardians
- The Guardians have lost each of their last five road games against AL East opponents following a win.
- The home team has won four of the Blue Jays’ last five games.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last five games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last three games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Blue Jays’ last 11 night games against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Guardians’ last seven games as road underdogs.
Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Guardians’ pitching has been strong heading into this game, but don’t let that fool you; it’s all going to change. Logan Allen has not been good this season, and in his last start, he gave up seven runs. Bassitt in his last start wasn’t as strong, but he sits with a 2.62 ERA, and he’s going to be better here. I am still not sold on the Guardians’ offense, and they aren’t going to get anything going against Bassitt. Back the Blue Jays on the money line.