Milwaukee Brewers (67-52) vs Cleveland Guardians (71-49)
August 16, 2024 at 08:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -117 / Cleveland Guardians +107 — Over/Under:
The Cleveland Guardians and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Guardians vs Brewers pick. We will examine:
The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance
The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Guardians and Brewers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Guardians vs Brewers game
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
In their last series the Guardians took on the Chicago Cubs. Cleveland managed a sweep in that matchup, rolling to victories 9-8, 2-1 and 6-1. In the finale Wednesday the Guardians got 5.2 innings and one earned run from starter Alex Cobb.
In the start for the Friday matchup the Guardians will send out Gavin Williams. Over eight starts this year Williams is 2-4 with a 4.38 ERA. Over 24 career starts Williams is 5-9 with a 3.64 ERA.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Over on the Brewers’ side, they’re fresh off a series versus the Los Angeles Dodgers. Milwaukee lost the first pair before a 5-4 victory in game three. In the finale Thursday, the Brewers powered out a 6-4 win. Starter Tobias Myers finished with 5.2 innings and two earned runs.
Aaron Civale will start for the Brewers on Friday. So far Civale is 3-8 with a 5.02 ERA in 23 starts. Civale is 34-34 with a 4.14 ERA in 109 career starts.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last five road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Guardians and Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last four games against AL Central opponents at American Family Field.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one total base in each of his 15 previous appearances with the Brewers as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- William Contreras has hit a home run in four of the Brewers’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- William Contreras has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last nine Friday night games as underdogs.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his 15 previous appearances with the Brewers as home underdogs against AL opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Josh Naylor has hit at least one home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances with the Guardians as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last six games as road favorites.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL opponents.
Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
I’ll probably stay with Cleveland. This one’s going to depend on what the starters do. Williams is 2-0 with one earned in 11.0 innings over two of his last three starts. In the other start Williams took a loss with six earned in 4.0 innings. As for Civale, he’s 1-1 with seven earned in 10.1 innings over his last pair.
Cleveland is riding a nice five-game win streak right now. In that span the Guardians have held opponents to one run in three of those games. If Williams can notch a nice start and help keep that trend going the Guardians will be set up nicely Friday.