Brewers vs Guardians Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 14th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-23 this year, and they have lost the first two games in this series by scores of 5-0 and 2-0. In their game two loss, Milwaukee fell behind 1-0 in the first inning and never recovered, as the offense really struggled for the second game in a row. The Brewers recorded three hits in the game, and they were led by Chourio, who went 2-4 in the loss. Milwaukee started Priester, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Payamps allowed two hits and one earned run over one inning of relief. 

Prior to this series, the Brewers lost two out of three against the Rays, but did win two out of three against the Astros before that. Milwaukee has lost five of its last six games, and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 184 runs with a .230 batting average and a .307 on-base percentage this season. Jackson Chourio has led Milwaukee with seven home runs and 25 RBIs, while Christian Yelich has added seven home runs and 26 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Logan Henderson, who is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 0.67 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this season. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 25-17 this season after they won game two by a score of 2-0 on Tuesday night. Cleveland led 1-0 in the first inning, and they added an insurance run in the eighth to seal the win. The Guardians recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Ramirez and Manzardo, who both had one RBI in the win. Cleveland started Allen, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Clase picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Guardians lost two out of three against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that. Cleveland has won five of their last seven games, and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 169 runs with a .233 batting average and a .307 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Manzardo has led Cleveland with nine home runs and 24 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added seven home runs and 19 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 3-2 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP over 37.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Guardians will beat the Brewers 

• The Guardians have won each of their last seven games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last three games at Progressive Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Progressive Field against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last six road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Guardians’ last nine home games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Guardians’ last seven games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Brewers’ last five games against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Guardians’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded a Single in each of the Guardians’ last seven home games.
• Jose Ramirez has scored two runs in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games against NL Central opponents at Progressive Field.
• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• William Contreras has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Rhys Hoskins has scored at least one run in five of his six previous appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Christian Yelich has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.

David Racey is 22-11 (67%) in the MLB over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Brewers vs Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland has won the first two games in this series, and they have yet to allow Milwaukee to score a run. The Guardians are 14-7 at home this year, while the Brewers are 8-16 on the road. Milwaukee has scored two runs or fewer in three of its last four games, and it will face Williams, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Cleveland’s offense hasn’t been great in recent games, but they should find success against Henderson, who is making just his second start of the year. I have very little faith in this Milwaukee offense right now, so I will take Cleveland to win again. 

David Racey's Pick: Guardians ML