Baltimore Orioles (70-50) vs Boston Red Sox (63-55)
August 16, 2024 at 07:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -233 / Boston Red Sox +192 — Over/Under:
The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles meet Friday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Orioles vs Red Sox pick. We will examine:
The Baltimore Orioles recent form and player performance
The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Orioles
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends in games played between the Orioles and Red Sox
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Orioles vs Red Sox game
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Red Sox played the Texas Rangers in their last series. Boston took wins 5-4 and 9-4 in the first two installments before a 9-7 loss in the finale. On Thursday versus the Orioles, the Red Sox took a 5-1 loss. Starter Nick Pivetta lasted 5.0 innings with three earned runs.
Cooper Criswell will start for Boston on Friday. Criswell is 4-4 with a 4.02 ERA and 56 Ks.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
Over on the O’s side, they took on the Washington Nationals in a pair of games this week. Baltimore lost 9-3 in the Tuesday matchup but came back for a 4-1 win in game two. On Thursday the Orioles out-hit the Sox 8-7 on the way to the victory. Zach Eflin put up 6.0 innings with one earned run as starter.
It’ll be Corbin Burnes in the starter slot for the O’s on Friday. This year Burnes is 12-4 with a 2.71 ERA in 24 starts. Burnes is 57-31 with a 3.16 ERA in 191 career games (130 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Thirteen of the Red Sox’s last 15 night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last three games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six Friday night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two home games against the Red Sox.
- Colton Cowser has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Orioles’ last five home games against AL East opponents.
- James McCann has scored a run in each of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last seven home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Story has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Wilyer Abreu has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL East opponents.
- Tyler O’Neill has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Triston Casas has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in 11 of the Red Sox’s last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
I’ll probably just stick with the O’s. Also probably not touching it due to the thick line. Burnes hasn’t been too bad over his last three starts. In that time he’s 2-0 with nine earned runs combined over 17.2 innings on 15 hits and five walks. A quality start would go a long way here.
On Thursday the O’s got some nice contributions from the top of the order and a solid pitching effort overall. The pen posted 3.0 clean innings between four arms with two hits and one walk. Burnes will probably need to go five or six frames in the Friday matchup, but the O’s should be set up well.