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Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 4/30/24
Pick details
Milwaukee Brewers (17-10) vs Tampa Bay Rays (13-16)
April 30, 2024 at 07:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -109 / Tampa Bay Rays -109 — Over/Under:
The Tampa Bay Rays and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
• The Tampa Bay Rays recent form and player performance
• The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Rays
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
• Recent betting trends in games played between the Rays and Brewers
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Rays vs Brewers game
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Rays played the Chicago White Sox over the weekend and things didn’t go very well. Tampa Bay lost all three of those games 9-4, 8-7 and 4-2 for a sweep. In the Monday opener versus the Brewers, the Rays eked out a 1-0 win after scoring a lone run in the first inning. Starting pitcher Ryan Pepiot put up 6.0 clean innings with two hits, no walks and seven strikeouts.
For the starting pitcher role on Tuesday, Tampa Bay is sending out Tyler Alexander. This year Alexander is 1-0 with a 4.74 ERA in five games (two starts). In his career Alexander has a 12-23 record with a 4.40 ERA in 125 games (45 starts).
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Over on the Brewers’ side, they took on the New York Yankees in their weekend set. Milwaukee managed a 7-6 win Friday but then lost the remaining two games 15-3 and 15-5. In their Monday game the Brewers posted just three hits in the defeat. Bryse Wilson managed 6.0 innings with one earned on four hits and two walks in the start.
It’ll be Freddy Peralta in the starting pitcher role for the Brewers on Tuesday. This year Peralta is 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA in five starts. He’s got 38 strikeouts in 28.1 innings. Peralta is 44-27 with a 3.80 career ERA in 151 games (102 starts).
Rays vs Brewers Injury Notes
Rays SP Taj Bradley posted five scoreless innings on Sunday during a rehab appearance with Triple-A Durham. Bradley (15-day IL) walked one with no hits and seven Ks.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has scored a run in eight of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Christian Yelich has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at American Family Field against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last six games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 13 home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded nine or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of the Brewers’ last 13 home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Rays’ last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Josh Lowe has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances.
- Josh Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (35).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.255).
- The Tampa Bay Rays rank 28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (39).
- The Tampa Bay Rays rank 5th in the league for steals this season (31).
Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
I’ll probably stay with the Brewers here. Peralta does need a good bounce-back start, though. In his last outing versus the Pirates, Peralta struggled on five earned, five hits and five walks in 4.2 innings during a no-decision. In his two starts prior to that however, Peralta put up just one earned in 12.0 innings on nine hits and two walks.
On Monday in the opener, the Brewers had a pretty rough offensive day on just three hits. The good news is that the pitching came through with a strong effort, but it was wasted in the difficult loss. I like Milwaukee to even things up on Tuesday if all goes well, but it may be another close, low-scoring game.
