Murray State vs SMU Prediction 11/11/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Murray State vs SMU Prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, November 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

SMU Mustangs Preview

SMU has a 2-0 record this season. They are 0-2 ATS, 1-1 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. SMU is coming off a 79-63 home win against Houston Christian and will face Dayton, West Virginia and Texas State next.

Offensively, SMU averages 82.5 points per game, which ranks 162nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 67.0 points per game (124th). The Mustangs shoot with 45.0% from the field (198th), and with 32.4% from beyond the arc (309th). They shoot with 80.0% from the free throw line (31st), and grab 40 rebounds per game (157th), while dishing out 14.5 assists per game (208th) and committing 10 turnovers per game (65th).

Kevin Miller leads SMU in scoring, with an average of 17 points and 5.5 assists. Jaron Pierre Jr. follows with 16.5 points and 4.5 rebounds per game, while Corey Washington adds 14.5 points and 6 rebounds per game.

Murray State Racers Preview

Murray State has a 2-0 record this season. They are 2-0 ATS, 2-0 in Over/Under and have a 1-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. Murray State is coming off a 95-73 home win against Tennessee State and will face Middle Tennessee, Southern Illinois and North Dakota State next.

Offensively, Murray State averages 96.5 points per game, which ranks 41st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 68.5 points per game (143rd). The Racers shoot with 44.2% from the field (218th), and with 32% from beyond the arc (208th). They shoot with 81.0% from the free throw line (26th), and grab 41 rebounds per game (134th), while dishing out 19.5 assists per game (49th) and committing 9.5 turnovers per game (47th).

Javon Jackson leads Murray State in scoring, with an average of 16 points. Fredrick King follows with 13 points and 6 rebounds per game, while Roman Domon adds 13 points and 5 rebounds per game.

Murray State Racers @ SMU Mustangs Betting Trends: November 11, 2025

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• SMU has won each of its last 11 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Murray State has lost seven of its last nine night games against non-Conference opponents.
• SMU has won the first half in each of its last 14 games against non-Conference opponents at Moody Coliseum (Dallas).

Why the Murray State Racers will win

• Murray State has won four of its last five night games.
• Murray State has won the first half in each of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-seven of Murray State’s last 30 night games have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.
• Thirty-six of SMU’s last 41 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Moody Coliseum (Dallas) have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.

Murray State vs SMU Prediction

In this Murray State vs SMU Prediction, SMU is coming as -11.5 home favorites. Both teams have been perfect this season as they both have won each of their two games played. SMU is coming off a 16-point home victory and are playing their third consecutive game at home to start the season. Murray State is coming off a 22-point home win but are being tested on the road for the first time. Both teams are playing exceptional defense so far, holding their opponents into just 135.5 points per game combined and with today’s total set at 163.5 points, I will go under that number.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 163.5